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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2017-09-06T12:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-09-06T12:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13013/-1
CME Note: Associated with X9.3 flare from AR 12673.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-07T22:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 8.0
Dst min. in nT: -142
Dst min. time: 2017-09-08T02:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-09-08T17:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 80.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

From: Solar Influences Data analysis Center 
Date: September 6, 2017 at 6:40:55 PM EDT
To: 
Subject: CME arrival alert
Reply-To: 

This mail contains the xml version of the CME arrival alert.
expected arrival time: 2017-09-08T17:00:00
time_uncertainty: 12
min_estimated_peak_K: 4
max_estimated_peak_K: 6
probability_of_arrival: 80

Lead Time: 23.83 hour(s)
Difference: -18.50 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) on 2017-09-06T22:40Z

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